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Data Science · Mini Project

Birth Trends Analysis & Forecasting

Explores decades of US birth records and forecasts daily births

1-2 weeks build

Overview

Works through the public CDC births dataset: cleaning outlier dates with sigma clipping, pivoting by decade and gender, and exposing the weekly and holiday dips in daily births. A Prophet model then forecasts future daily births with yearly, weekly and holiday seasonality, and its components are plotted so each effect can be explained on its own.

What makes it stand up

  • 01Sigma-clipping to remove malformed and outlier records
  • 02Decade-by-gender pivot tables and trend plots
  • 03Day-of-year chart that surfaces holiday effects
  • 04Prophet forecast with yearly, weekly and holiday terms
  • 05Holdout evaluation with MAE and MAPE in the report

Module breakdown

  1. 01

    Cleaning

    Parses dates, drops invalid days and clips outliers.

  2. 02

    Exploration

    Pivots births by year, decade, weekday and gender.

  3. 03

    Seasonality

    Annotated day-of-year plot showing holiday dips.

  4. 04

    Forecasting

    Fits Prophet and projects daily births forward.

  5. 05

    Evaluation

    Compares forecasts with a held-out period.

After this, you will be able to

  • Explain what trend, seasonality and holiday components mean
  • Defend why sigma clipping suits this dataset
  • Walk examiners through the forecast and its uncertainty band

Technology stack

  • Python
  • Pandas
  • Prophet
  • Matplotlib
  • Jupyter

Complete kit

₹5,299₹8,999
-41%

Delivered in under 48 hours

Level
Mini Project
Domain
Data Science
Build time
1-2 weeks
Difficulty

You receive

  • Complete, commented source code
  • 60-90 page project report (IEEE format)
  • Editable presentation deck
  • Architecture, ER and UML diagrams
  • Local setup and deployment guide
  • Sample dataset or seed data
  • Viva question bank with answers
  • One 45-minute walkthrough call
  • 30 days of doubt-clearing support
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